Predicting students' success level in an examination using advanced linear regression and extreme gradient boosting

Abstract

This research employs a hybrid approach, integrating advanced linear regression and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), to forecast student success rates in exams within the dynamic educational landscape. Utilizing Kaggle-sourced data, the study crafts a model amalgamating advanced linear regression and XGBoost, subsequently assessing its performance against the primary dataset. The findings showcase the model's efficacy, yielding an accuracy of 0.680 on the fifth test and underscoring its adeptness in predicting students' exam success. The discussion underscores XGBoost's prowess in managing data intricacies and non-linear features, complemented by advanced linear regression offering valuable coefficient interpretations for linear relationships. This research innovatively contributes by harmonizing two distinct methods to create a predictive model for students' exam success. The conclusion emphasizes the merits of an ensemble approach in refining prediction accuracy, recognizing, however, the study's limitations in terms of dataset constraints and external factors. In essence, this study enhances comprehension of predicting student success, offering educators insights to identify and support potentially struggling students.